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Tilly's (Tilly's) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $0.79 (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Tilly's's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $0.010. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.79 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Tilly's's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -6.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -1.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Tilly's was 3.80% per year. The lowest was -1.60% per year. And the median was 1.10% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Tilly's's current stock price is $6.01. Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $0.79. Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 7.61.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Tilly's was 18.57. The lowest was 4.81. And the median was 9.84.


Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Tilly's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.75 0.83 0.88 0.84 0.79

Tilly's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.84 0.83 0.86 0.84 0.79

Competitive Comparison of Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Tilly's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=0.01/129.4194*129.4194
=0.010

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Tilly's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 -0.278 100.023 -0.360
201407 0.178 100.520 0.229
201410 0.146 100.176 0.189
201501 0.834 98.604 1.095
201504 -0.286 99.824 -0.371
201507 -0.097 100.691 -0.125
201510 -0.008 100.346 -0.010
201601 0.878 99.957 1.137
201604 -0.433 100.947 -0.555
201607 0.285 101.524 0.363
201610 0.315 101.988 0.400
201701 0.930 102.456 1.175
201704 -0.279 103.167 -0.350
201707 0.137 103.278 0.172
201710 0.415 104.070 0.516
201801 0.373 104.578 0.462
201804 -0.077 105.708 -0.094
201807 0.592 106.324 0.721
201810 -0.213 106.695 -0.258
201901 0.769 106.200 0.937
201904 -0.179 107.818 -0.215
201907 0.491 108.250 0.587
201910 0.156 108.577 0.186
202001 0.276 108.841 0.328
202004 -0.779 108.173 -0.932
202007 1.270 109.318 1.504
202010 0.002 109.861 0.002
202101 0.531 110.364 0.623
202104 0.452 112.673 0.519
202107 0.487 115.183 0.547
202110 0.224 116.696 0.248
202201 0.447 118.619 0.488
202204 -0.649 121.978 -0.689
202207 0.203 125.002 0.210
202210 -0.299 125.734 -0.308
202301 0.215 126.223 0.220
202304 -0.686 127.992 -0.694
202307 0.343 128.974 0.344
202310 -0.361 129.810 -0.360
202401 0.010 129.419 0.010

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Tilly's  (NYSE:TLYS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=6.01/0.79
=7.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Tilly's was 18.57. The lowest was 4.81. And the median was 9.84.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tilly's (Tilly's) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
10 Whatney, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Tilly's Inc works as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men, young women, boys, and girls. It offers an unparalleled selection of relevant brands, styles, colors, sizes, and price points. It delivers branded fashion, and core styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses. It also provides backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, and jewelry. The company markets its products under the brand names of Vans, RVCA, Adidas, Nike SB, and Hurley among others. It operates its stores in malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers, street-front locations, and also through e-commerce.
Executives
Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund Lp 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Seth R Johnson director
Janet Kerr director 50 CASTILIAN DR, GOLETA CA 93117
Michael Henry officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Laura Janney officer: SEE REMARKS C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Robert Simon Goodwin officer: See Remarks C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Jonathon David Kosoff officer: Chief Digital Officer C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Hezy Shaked director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHIEF STRATEGY OFFICER C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Pleasant Lake Partners Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Fund 1 Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115, UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Edmond Thomas director, officer: President and CEO C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Bernard Zeichner director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Teresa Luna Aragones director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Erin Melissa Chin director C/O TILLY'S, INC., 10 WHATNEY, IRVINE CA 92618
Tricia D Smith officer: EVP CMO C/O URBAN OUTFITTERS INC, 5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA X1 19112